Is the English Premier League in crisis? – CNN World Sport

But I issue a challenge. However, over the last few seasons that trend has changed and right now England ranks third behind Germany and Spain for the average of goals scored per game.

. More worryingly though, who is waiting in their wings? Who will be the next generation of Premier League stars? I don’t see many exciting m88 players coming through and with the exception of Manchester City, which clubs will have the money to out-muscle the Real Madrid, Bayern and Inter Milans of this world in the transfer market?

Let me get specific. If one forgets about the hype and focuses on the football, it is no contest.

GERMANY – 2.79

SPAIN – 2.78

ENGLAND – 2.67

ITALY – 2.36

The fact is that the Premier League has seen its top players lose form and status. Players like Diego Forlan, Sergio Aguero, Juan Mata, Ever Banega, Nilmar, Fernando Llorente and many more.

One final word about the Bundesliga because it could be the most underrated league in Europe. First of all, the league boasts the best team on the planet – Barcelona. Compare an Espanol v Sevilla game to a Sunderland v Everton game. When you think of the Premier League, what names come to mind? Wayne Rooney, Didier Drogba, Cesc Fabregas, Fernando Torres and Carlos Tevez, perhaps? OK, well how many of them are world-class stars right now?

So, onto Spain. An empire could be crumbling.

Many of you could be suspicious of the last few players I named and there is one simple reason for that. Every time I watch a game from Germany’s top flight I am impressed. Watch your back, because your days on the throne could be numbered.

I would say out of that group, Tevez is probably the best player at the moment. So it would be fair to say that it is a more competitive tournament than England, Spain or any other top league for that matter.

Recently, at the FIFA Ballon D’Or gala, the FIFPro World XI was announced. It may not be as fast and furious, but it will be of a higher quality and will feature a greater level of skill. I don’t think too many people would disagree with me on that point. I admit that I would also prefer watching an Atletico v Valencia contest than a Manchester City v Tottenham any day of the week. The nation’s World Cup campaign was a testimony to that. The top flight division has lost its status as the best league in the world. This dream team was picked by close to 50 thousand professional players. This competition is still living off the reputation gained in the past and is also benefiting from having a fantastic PR machine behind it, but its gravy-train days could soon be over.

In my opinion, England’s Premier League is in crisis. Try to watch more Spanish League games, and not just featuring the top teams.

So here is a word of warning for the Premier League. Maybe in the 90s and the early part of the last decade you still saw more goals in the Premier League than anywhere else. Do it and then tell me what you think. Furthermore, they have had five different champions in the last decade.

Has the English Premier League lost its crown as the world's best league?

Has the English Premier League lost its crown as the world’s best league?

I guarantee that a match between mid-table teams in Spain will be much better than one in England. It featured eight players from the Spain’s La Liga and three from Italy’s Serie A. Marketing. They also have the second best team in the world – Real Madrid. It has fallen behind Spain and could soon drop below Germany’s Bundesliga as well.

A harsh assessment? Perhaps. Not a single footballer plied his trade in England.

Goals per game:

So was it just a bad year for English football? You could say that, but I believe it would be closer to the truth to see it as a chink in the once formidable armor of the league that has called itself the best in the world. These two sides have exceptional talent and are both superbly coached.

As far as star power is concerned, no other league can say they have anyone close to the stature of Messi and Ronaldo. But there are more stars, many of them unheralded. Quite simply, some of them are getting old, some aren’t that good anymore while others are just overrated. I am not going to sit here and tell you about all of the magnificent players at Barcelona and Real Madrid, but there are so many others in La Liga. The one that states the best and most exciting attacking football is played in England. Wayne Rooney has scored one goal from open play for Manchester United since March, Torres has looked like a shadow of his former self for the last year, Fabregas hasn’t ever guided Arsenal to any kind of real silverware and continues to struggle with injuries and Drogba’s career seems to be in decline after a few amazing seasons.

Before I start talking about other leagues, specifically Spain, I will demystify a stereotype that has been around for a long time. This is false. Most of the teams are extremely well organized, they play positive football and have some of the most exciting players around at the moment. Spain hasn’t marketed its league as well as England have and hasn’t “sold” the image of its teams and players (with the exception of Real and Barca) like the Premier League has https://www.m88u.com/m88-id.html

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Why Mourinho’s Chelsea will be Premier League champion

Arsenal spent 128 days atop the division in 2013-14 but suffered maulings at the hands of Chelsea and Liverpool as a familiar post-Christmas slump took hold.

MANCHESTER UNITED

. A change of direction that began with the marquee signing of Mesut Ozil from Real Madrid this time last year has continued, with £66 million ($110m) spent ahead of the new campaign.

“We have the squad that we want to have,” Mourinho told reporters on the eve of the new season. “It is a squad for tomorrow, for next season and also a squad with big possibilities for the next five or 10 years with so many young people.”

The only thing lacking in the Portuguese’s first campaign back in charge at Chelsea was the usual glut of trophies.

The Uruguayan’s move to Barcelona may have engendered an $128.5 million windfall, but he takes with him wistful memories of a luxuriant season that reaped 31 goals and 12 assists.

That has one obvious advantage and one undeniable negative.

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For all its limitations, this is still a team that boasts a strike force as lethal as they come.

Despite managing a club owned by Roman Abramovich, who is worth a reputed $10 billion, Mourinho decried his team as the “little horse” in the scurry for the finish line.

And Robin van Persie’s four goals at the World Cup were crucial as Van Gaal led Netherlands to third place in Brazil.

The club’s Chilean coach is a year older and wiser as to the travails of English football however, and it has lavished more cash on fleshing out a squad that already has more depth than an Olympic swimming pool.

MANCHESTER CITY

Frank Lampard, a three-time title winner, has joined on loan from City’s subsidiary club New York City FC after being released by Chelsea, while France defender Bacary Sagna has signed from Arsenal.

CNN’s English Premier League predictions

Which team do you think will win the title? Have your say in the comments box below or continue the conversation with CNN FC on Twitter or on Facebook.

Verdict: Surely, a third Premier League title under Mourinho awaits.

How do you replace Luis Suarez? The simple answer is you can’t.

Read: Barca ‘Suarez is ours’

Champion twice in the past three seasons, City might have to play second fiddle to Mourinho and Chelsea in 2014-15.

Add to that a phalanx of extra games now that the Reds are in the European Champions League after an absence of four seasons, and repeating last year’s push for the title seems unrealistic.

Read: Mangala signs for Man City

Manuel Pellegrini’s charges spent just 15 days at the top over the whole campaign; the irony of this season may well see it spend more time at the summit without finishing as top dog.

But if you listened to the former Real Madrid and Inter coach opine on the English Premier League title race last season, his side was never in the running.

Colombia World Cup star David Ospina represents competition for Wojciech Szczesny in the race for the goalkeeper’s jersey and teenage defender Calum Chambers — who cost a reported $25 million from Southampton — indulges Wenger’s “one for the future” passion.

Not only did he propel the Londoners to home and away wins over eventual champion Manchester City, he did the same to Liverpool — a morale-crushing 2-0 victory at Anfield in late April was the beginning of the end for the Reds’ title aspirations.

This season, ominously, his tone is different.

Spain: Star signing

Italy: Pressure’s on

Promising English left-back Luke Shaw has also been added for what many believe to be a vastly inflated sum, but the 19-year-old will miss the opening month through injury.

Another couple of signings before the window shuts on September 1 could catapult the London side into the title reckoning, but a top-four finish should still be comfortable even without.

The great Alex Ferguson was able to, propelling his team to title success in his final season despite notable deficiencies in his squad.

Whatever happens, it won’t be dull with Van Gaal around.

Provocative, outspoken, manipulative, supremely confident, and utterly compelling.

CNN’s English Premier League predictions

Victory over Hull City in England’s premier knockout competition slaked a nine-year thirst for a trophy and eased the pressure on Arsene Wenger that had been steadily mounting throughout that time.

Can Louis van Gaal transform Manchester United into a serious title contender by sheer force of personality alone?

This is where the waters become muddied.

It was against the lesser lights Chelsea faltered, but with his squad now bolstered by yet more quality, Mourinho’s charges won’t be as generous this time around.

City has raided Portugal to prise Fernando and Eliaquim Mangala from Porto, while goalkeeper Willy Caballero and Bruno Zuculini have arrived from Spain.

Germany: More glory?

But those holes remain — not filled by David Moyes in his disastrous sole season in charge — even if June’s purchase of Ander Herrera from Athletic Bilbao in Spain will add some much-needed creativity in the middle of the park.

Promising Premier League campaigns have frittered away and shots at silverware squandered.

Wayne Rooney, newly installed as Van Gaal’s captain, needs 15 goals to move third on the Premier League’s all-time scorers list.

In taking right-back Mathieu Debuchy from Newcastle United, Wenger has replaced departing Frenchman Bacary Sagna with an equally competent compatriot.

Read: Can Van Gaal cut it at Man Utd?

Verdict: Close but no cigar as City settles for second best.

Rodgers’ renowned man-management m88 skills will be tested as he and aging captain Steven Gerrard attempt to bed the new arrivals into the Liverpool way.

ARSENAL

The likes of Adam Lallana and Dejan Lovren, both plucked from Southampton, have Premier League and World Cup experience while the likes of midfielder Emre Can and striker Divock Origi have huge potential — though the latter, who scored Belgium’s winner against Algeria at Brazil 2014, has been loaned back to French club Lille.

England: New dawn?

Read: Lampard on MLS adventure

Verdict: A fifth-place finish after a long winter of adjustment..

A spike as spring emerged helped usher in Champions League qualification for the 17th straight year but then came a watershed moment in May — an FA Cup triumph.

LIVERPOOL

The purchase of Alexis Sanchez from Barcelona after his fine World Cup with Chile has convinced many fans the Gunners can stay in title contention as 2014-15 reaches its business end.

HIDE CAPTION

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Verdict: A fast start before a predictable fade to fourth place for the third successive season.

France: European ambitions

Last season’s triumph was a mass of contradictions — for large parts of the campaign big-spending City was considered favorite but became ultimately reliant on Liverpool’s last-gasp stumble to claim top honors.

Verdict: An up-and-down season to end in third place.

CNN’s English Premier League predictions

Eight new arrivals means Liverpool’s options are now rich and plentiful but, as Tottenham found out so painfully when trying to replace Gareth Bale last season, it is rare they all hit the ground running.

As ever, City’s success will hinge on its twin titans: midfielder Yaya Toure, who has resolved to stay at the club despite threatening to leave after he received a modest birthday present; and prolific Argentina striker Sergio Aguero, who has signed a new five-year contract.

CNN’s English Premier League predictions

There are no European Champions League distractions for United after last season’s malaise, finishing a lowly seventh, so the squad should stay fresh and hungry.

(CNN) — Jose Mourinho was precisely as we had remembered him.

Chelsea may have finished third last season, but Mourinho’s tactical prowess was still in evidence.

The acquisition of two big names from Spain — Cesc Fabregas of Barcelona and Diego Coasta from La Liga champion Atletico Madrid — has taken his squad onto a different plane, while the return of stalwart Didier Drogba adds an unashamedly sentimental sheen.

Unless assimilation takes less time than expected, this season is destined to become one of transition for the Reds.

That quartet’s lack of English experience has been offset to a degree by the arrival of two seasoned Premier League campaigners plucked from City’s rivals.

Manager Brendan Rodgers has chosen to disseminate that cash liberally, rather than try to plug the gap with one marquee signing.

The 2014-15 English Premier League season starts on Saturday

Chelsea, led by Jose Mourinho, is favorite to lift its first title since 2011

Defending champion Manchester City has added six players to its squad

Manchester United hoping to restore glory under new boss Louis van Gaal

The Gunners have become masters of deception in recent years.

Read: Sanchez joins Arsenal

CNN’s English Premier League predictions

That is precisely what happened in the top flight last season

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Macau crackdown sees windfall for Asian casino operators

in South Korea are hiring Mandarin-speaking staff and offering VIP treatment including free flights, limousines and hotel stays to big spenders. Echo Entertainment Group Ltd.

korea

In 2014 XI Jinping had warned Macau officials that the province needed to end its reliance on m88 gambling and look to attract other business industries to operate in the region..

Recording its first ever downturn as a gambling hub, Macau has seen a revenue decline of 2.6% to $44 billion (2014). in Cambodia cater to the junket operators who organize trips for Chinese gamblers with perks such as higher commissions, lower taxes and private jets.

Bloomberg Asia reports that South Korean casino resorts are preparing to welcome up to + 6 million Chinese gamblers in 2015. of Sydney and NagaCorp Ltd. After a decade of expansion, Macau is now the centre of the Chinese Security Ministry and President Xi Jinping ongoing fight against corruption.

The city’s misfortune however has proved to be beneficial to other Asian casino operators, who have lured high value gamblers to their enterprises.

The operators are able to lure and market to Chinese consumers by side-stepping Chinese gambling advertising restrictions by advertising non-gambling activities such as entertainment, nightclubs and restaurants

Casino operators such as Paradise Co. The resorts have set up a service to allow Chinese customers gambling loans, a service to that is common in order to sidestep China’s limits on taking currency abroad.

Macau analysts have estimated that its corruption campaign has wiped out $73 billion in market value of companies including Wynn Macau and SJM Holdings.

As the Chinese Security Ministry has targeted banking transaction, to help stop money laundering in China, high value Asian gamblers have to chosen to gamble in casinos in South Korea, Cambodia and Australia.

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How To Win Big on Slot Machines and slot machine patterns. A strategy for Casino Slots

The modern mechanical slot reels are still governed by a computer. Most people know that a gclub slot machine works on randomly generated patterns. Remember that they have to pay a certain percentage. If the RNG (random number generator) has lacked the percentage payout over a period of time, it may start paying higher win amounts in order to reach a percentage threshold. Think about this for a minute. There is a reason that “The House Always Wins”…..State Laws.. Usually at least 85%. I like both, but I have been leaning more toward the video slots over last few years.

A slot machine in a casino under state law, (all legal gambling states have laws), are required to pay out a certain percentage. First things first here. Some casinos in Vegas I have seen advertise a 95% payout to draw people in. There is not really any way to tell if a machine is on a higher payout cycle unless you watch people play and see what the machine is doing (that may creep out some people though, so be polite) Or by playing a machine and betting a few small amounts and determining the reaction of the pattern. The casino will make between 5 and 15 cents of every dollar spent…..No matter what.

Winning on a slot machine first requires knowledge of how they work. Most video slots give you a broader choice as far as betting. In other words both types of machines still have equal payout rules. Do they exist? Not really. But people still like the mechanical slots so the casinos still have many mechanical slot machines. More line options, different ways of betting and they are much more entertaining. It’s a term often misinterpreted as a broken machine. These aren’t “old” machines. I recommend the latter.

People often hear about “loose” slot machines. The casino will not pay you if a machine malfunctions.

The mechanics of a slot machine

The Myth about “loose” machines

Mechanical Verses Video Slots

“Mechanical slots” are being outnumbered these days by video slots. Although this is true for both mechanical slots as well as video slots, we need to take a serious look at how “random” they really are.

If slot machines were truly 100% random, the casino itself would be gambling themselves wondering if their business is going to make money or have to pay out everything and shut down. So is it really totally random? I think not.

A “loose” machine in reality applies to a slot machine that is on a higher pay cycle. Mechanical slots are not any “less smart” than the video slots.

Understand now that a slot needs to be programmed to pay out at least 85% of what is put into it

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Slot Machine Addiction: What You Do Not Know About Slots Can Harm You

They want to keep people playing, and playing, and playing. This is why people with gambling problems keep playing and chasing their losses. It can be a very exciting experience for the player, and very intoxicating to say the least.

For those people with gambling related problems or addiction, they will never win because they play to play and never leave.

Slots and pokie addiction can be devastating for people. Called “the crack cocaine of gambling addiction, this form of gambling has the highest rate of addiction in the industry. Casino owners say that this is not the case.

People can have devastating financial losses from this addiction. I accept that setbacks are part of any addiction. It can consume a person very quickly and people have been known to get addicted in as little as a year. Bells and whistles will play, even though the gambler still won less than their initial wager. Then the player waits with baited breathe for the next bonus round to come up, hoping it will be better.

People play just to stay in action because of the pleasurable feelings that accompany play. The bells and whistles make Joe think he won, when he really lost .60 cents on the bet.

This can help to shape the behavior of the gambler because it keeps him or her glued to the machine, waiting for their next unexpected win. The longer one plays the slots or the pokies, the chances of losing increase exponentially.

Unfortunately that only happens in select cases, and is never the case for someone with a slots or pokies gambling addiction.

Sometimes gambler will spend hundreds on a machine before getting a bonus round because this is what he or she is seeking. In addition, individual counselors who specialize in addictions are also available.

Playing To Extinction

This is the industry term for playing a machine (s) until your last dollar is gone. It can become a crazy chase, and a very expensive one at that.

What To Do If You Have A Slots Or Pokies Addiction

If you are struggling with an addiction to these machines, you are not alone. Some seats actually have speakers built into these. They do not want to come down and “crash” from their very pleasurable gamblers high.

The makers of the slot machines want to create an entertaining experience and do whatever it takes to keep the player playing on the machine. The best thing is to just stay away.. This is what fuels the fire to financial loss and despair.

When player are engaged in a slot machine he or she waits for these bonus rounds to come up and become very excited when this happens. Machine makers and owners of casino and slot machines/pokies have this as the end goal. This means that the gambler will only win every few spins, and never knows which hand will pay out and which ones will not.

The House Always Wins

People must remember that with gambling, the house ALWAYS wins. Almost all states in the U.S have government sponsored slot machine gambling, and for many it is just a hop, skip, and a jump from their primary residence.

These new age slot machines also produce what is called as “losses disguised as wins”. It happens almost 4 times as fast.

People vulnerable to this are the poor, people with a lot of problems wanting to escape, and older individuals who have experiences a lot of loss.

Gamblers Anonymous is one option, as well as a program called Smart Recovery. Not sure when it will happen, this keeps the gambler playing and playing. Many of these bonus rounds consist of free games, or special “games within the game”.

Remember that there is help available for you. I also know that I will never give up on myself and beating this.

Slot Machine And Pokie Addiction

Slot machine and pokie addiction is increasing throughout the world due to easy access to gambling venues. This is a much quicker rate of addiction over other forms of gambling. The gambler playing the slot will get many of these LDW throughout their slot play. Also known as “the gamblers high” these feelings can be very potent and highly addictive. These are also much more addicting as well.

The reality is that slots and pokies are cash cows for casinos, pubs, and racinos. Playing in the zone is a place where an individuals’ troubles just fade away, and the person is at one with the machine.

This is a sad fact, and many people, especially poor people have casinos and racinos very close to home. Example: Joe bets $1.00 on a hand in slots and earns .40 cents on the bet. It can actually become an obsession because of the random nature of the wins.

Nobody can ever come out ahead as a slots or pokies gambler unless one plays for a very short time and then leaves.

The truth is, however, that casinos do earn most of their revenue from problem gamblers Different studies show different percentages, however, the average is well over 50 percent .

Slots and pokies addiction does not have to ruin your life, or the lives of your loved ones.

Many high end casino officials will say that this is not true. That they do not want people with gambling problems in their casino playing until their last dollar is gone.

These new age slot machines definitely do the trick, and are much different than the old single line machines based in reels. I recently had a lapse and I am back on track again. Because of the easy access to casinos and these machines, many people throughout the world are struggling. There is really no comparison whatsoever. And these new high tech machines create the revenue they are looking for.

Intermittent Reinforcement

One of the ways that slots and pokies gambling creates addiction is the fast rate of play and what is also called “intermittent reinforcement”. In the industry, this is known a “time on device.

The Lights And The Sounds Of Slot Machines

Slot machines and pokies have a lot of lights, sounds, and pleasurable music when winning, and even when losing. Also remember that it takes time to beat gambling addiction and relapses and lapses are par for the course.

Many of the debt settlement, debt consolidation companies are for profit companies that can actually put you in more debt than you were before.

With easy access to ATM machines inside the casino or slots club or venue, many addicted gamblers not only play until their last dollar is gone, but also withdraw money from savings and credit cards. This is until he http://apache.org or she is flat broke. Sometimes bonus rounds pay a lot, however, sometimes these bonuses turn out to be duds, and very disappointing to the player. Many see no way out, and they decide to end their life.

Casinos with slots and pokies cannot enhance our lives in any way if we are addicted or problem gamblers. Many of the machines are themed after popular movies or television shows. Many have over 50 grand in debt, primarily due to slots and pokie gambling.

The reason that the suicide rate for gambling is the highest of all addictions is because of the horrific consequences that result in financial ruin. These individuals see gambling as a possible way to earn riches, and it is not the case.

If you suffer financial ramifications and consequences from a slots or pokies addiction, please look for credit counseling that is not for profit.

There is no one way to get through an addiction to slots or pokies, however, it can be done. These machines are a whole different animal than the old fashioned machines. We are just starting to see many of these consequences, many of which are dire.

Slot Machine Bonus Rounds

Bonus rounds are one of the most popular aspects of the new multi-line digital slot machines.

When players become addicted, they are not playing to win as much as to “stay in the zone” as the industry coins this

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Horse Racing Systems: 5 That Work

Most people who love horse racing would be thrilled just to win a little more and lose a little less on their trips to the track.

In fact, pedigree does not generally offer wager value with one curious exception: well bred horses do surprisingly well in maiden claiming races. I’ve identified some of the most useful handicapping factors that have a proven history of doing much better than the track takeout and put them together with some simple rules that should make your trips to the racetrack more fun and profitable. They will, however increase the chances of a profitable day at the races by ensuring that your wager dollars go where they have the best chance of success.

In the first place, the parimutuel takeout in horse racing is large (over 15%) and the mutuel pools are relatively efficient, so that even systems with a strong basis in reality can’t overcome the size of the takeout.

Second, the very nature of the parimutuel system itself means that any profits to be made from following a particular set of rules will quickly be arbitraged away as the followers of that system drive down the odds of horses chosen by the system.

However, just because systems won’t make you rich doesn’t mean there’s no place for them at all in a horseplayer’s arsenal. One of the few anomalies turned up by Michael Nunamaker in his pioneering computer study “Modern Impact Values”, published in 1994, was that horses breaking from the inside post position in route races won more than their fair share of races, and were under-bet by the public. The inside post in turf routes actually showed a small profit, but this was based on a small sample size and cannot be relied upon. It should go without saying that you should actually like the favorite’s chances after evaluating the race with your own handicapping.

For as long as humans have bet on horse racing there have been system sellers trying to con the gullible into parting with their hard earned money with the lure of easy profits to be made on the sport of kings. The inside post combined with early speed is a particularly potent combination, since the horse will not have to exert himself as much to gain his preferred position at the front of the pack.

In that spirit. This is somewhat counter-intuitive since you’d expect that horses with good pedigrees that end up in the maiden claiming ranks probably can’t run at all. Just don’t expect to quit your day job.

None of these systems will make you rich, or even guarantee that you will make a profit. None of them work.

Instead of blindly betting all horses breaking from the inside, you might use this to supplement your handicapping, paying particular attention to the inside horse, and betting it when you like the horse on other handicapping grounds. Let me let you in on a little secret about these “magic formulas”. Few bother to even look at the comment line for the race, let alone take the trouble to seek out and watch the replay of the race. If the tote board suggests that the public is overlooking these mitigating circumstances, make your play.

Horse Racing System #4 – Bet low-priced favorites to place. My study suggests that’s not the case.

First time starters return only about 60 cents on the dollar, and second time starters are only a little better, returning less than 70 cents on the dollar. To the extent that most handicappers use pedigree at all, it’s usually to identify horses that may improve when switched to the turf, or those who may be expected to win as first time starters. The horse with the best combination of the two is the play.

This causes the favorite to be under bet in the place pool, leading to a profit opportunity for us to take advantage of by betting the favorite to place. This offers opportunity to more diligent players.

Looking for a dead simple horse racing system that will allow you to quit your job and make a living betting the horses in just 10 minutes a day? Good luck with that!

How do we identify the best pedigree, then? If you’re using the DRF past performances, use the stud fee as a proxy for quality, and the Tomlinson figure to judge suitability for the distance and surface. My own studies have shown a similar advantage for the inside post in routes.

Look for comment lines like “bled”, “lost rider”, “clipped heels”, “stumbled”, “steadied”, “between horses”, “rank”, and “jumped shadows” that suggest that a horse’s last race was not indicative of its true ability. This is another mistake that bettors make: in a race with a clear standout, many people give up on the win pool and bet their choice to place, thinking that they’ll get paid even if the favorite wins.

The horse with the best last race speed figure (whether Beyer, BRIS, or Equibase) may not be the best horse in the race, but he’s probably not far off, so we can use that as a proxy for selection purposes.

Horse Racing System #3 – In maiden claiming races, bet the horse with the best pedigree. Thanks for reading, and see you in the winner’s circle.

Horse Racing System #1 – In maiden races, bet the horse with the best last race speed figure that has had at least two career starts. I was able to replicate this result in my own study of nearly 100,000 races conducted a decade later.

Nunamaker reported that the inside post in dirt route races won at a 20% greater than expected rate, and lost only 10 cents on the dollar, much better than the track take. In most case the public seems to take a horse’s last running line at face value. It must follow, therefore, that if we bet the best horse that has started at least twice, we stand an excellent chance of beating the m88 takeout, particularly in races that have several first and second time starters.

For instance, many speed figure handicappers reported making horse racing profits in the 60′s and 70′s simply by betting horses with the best last race speed figure. With the BRIS pp’s you can use the Sire Production Factor in concert with the pedigree rating. My computer studies of pedigree, based on nearly 100,000 races, suggest that using pedigree in that manner offers no advantage to the player.

Horse Racing System #2 – Bet horses that have an excuse for a poor performance in their last race. This system takes advantage of one of the few glaring inefficiencies in the parimutuel pools, namely that first and second time starters are badly over-bet.

. Because speed figures have gained in popularity over the years, anyone following that system now would have trouble coming up with gas money for the ride home from the track.

Horse Racing System #5 – Bet Horses breaking from the inside post in route races

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Betting Games to Play During NFL Draft

Game 1: Betting Bowls

Creating between 10 and 20 of these questions and putting $1 down for each is a fun and creative way to think about the draft. The mocks will then be scored and the money distributed in a way agreed upon (aka winner 75%, 2nd place 25%). Here are some more sample prop bets:

For the first 10 picks of the draft, it is often more fun to have the 5th bowl labeled as “Rest of Field” instead of an actual player name. There may be several side-pots at any given point.

What if Nobody is Correct?

If nobody puts money in the bowl of the correct player, all of that money goes into a general pot, and the next person to correctly guess a player gets that money in addition their other winnings.

What if there is still money in the pot after round 1 ends?

If the day or round ends and there’s still money left to be won, the game goes to “overtime”. This represents any player who is not a label on the other 4 bowls.

Because it can be kind of hectic labeling the bowls in between picks, it’s recommended that you rotate labeling responsibilities every 5 picks, so everyone has time to enjoy the draft.

It’s also recommended to find a list of the top 50 players in the draft and use that to pre-create some labels, so you don’t have to write down names during the draft.

To deter any cheating or foul play, it’s best if all bets are placed as soon as possible, that all contestants stay off of Twitter, and that no bets may be changed after a certain time (like less than 2 minutes left on clock).

On a fireplace, hutch, or other surface near the TV, place 5 bowls. The premise is simple: given 2 scenarios which will result in a number, which scenario will produce a larger number. For this game, each person should make a mock draft of the first round (picks 1-32) and bet $10. For example: “Which will be higher: Number of Linebackers drafted in round 1, or number of players selected from Florida colleges in round 1?”. Score the mock strictly by where the player is drafted with no regards to team using the following system:

Correct player in exact spot = 5 points

Correct player 1 spot off (+/-) = 3 points

Correct player 2 spots off (+/-) = 2 points

Correct player 3 spots off (+/-) = 1 point

Game 4: Your Big Board (non-betting)

This is not a betting game, but rather an exercise that allows you to better understand the draft’s depth and players.

Before the draft, create a printout, posterboard, or individual cards with approximately 75-100 of the draft’s top players arranged from top to bottom according to your preferences and team needs, as if you were the general manager. The first person to get a pick correct gets all the money.

Notes

Each and every year the NFL draft is becoming more and more popular and is becoming a holiday of sorts for NFL and football fans. Aside from food, friends, and beverages, there’s no better way to increase the fun had during the NFL draft than by placing small bets with your friends. This is a fun exercise when your team is drafted, as you can see who you would pick at this point and can watch players literally “come off the board”.

With the NFL draft having moved to prime time in 2010, it’s now easier than ever to watch the draft and throw parties on draft day 1 (and beyond). At this point, no more money is bet.

For each pick in the draft, tape 1 name below each bowl, to give a m88 total of 5 names for each and every pick.

Before each pick, each person in the room places $1 in the bowl of the player they think will be drafted.

The person who correctly guesses the drafted player wins all the money in the bowls.

What About Trades?

If a pick is traded, everyone may remove their dollar bet and, after the bowls are re-labeled (if necessary), change their bet to a new player.

What About Ties?

If 2 or more people select the same player and are correct, all of the money goes into a specially labeled side pot. Doing any or all of the following games or activities is a great way to stay invested in each and every pick and keep the energy level high.

Game 2: Prop Bets

With this game, brainstorming the bets and categories is almost as much fun as choosing the bets and watching them unfold live. Some watch it to see where their favorite college players get drafted, some watch the draft for the drama and trades, and many watch it to see which players their favorite team will be building its future around.

Wide Receivers drafted in round 1 OR Pick number at which first Wide Receiver is

drafted.

The number of the first pick traded OR the number at which the first Running Back is selected.

Number of trades in the top 10 picks of round 1 OR number of trades in the bottom 10 picks of round 1.

University of Florida players drafted in round 1 OR Pac 10 players drafted in

round 1.

Game 3: Mock Drafts

Mock drafts are getting more and more popular and easier to do all the time with sites like ESPN and WalterFootball.com providing tools to create mock drafts. Of those people, the next person to win gets all the money in the bowls and all the relevant pots. Each and every pick, each person must choose 1 player they believe will be drafted at that pick, and it cannot be the same player anyone else has chosen (aka they must all be unique)

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Officially Done With Sports Betting

However, after comparing how much I had won and how much I had lost within the few months that I plaid, I realized that I had lost more than I won. The problem here is that the few people that win big influence many more to believe that they have good chances of the same. It was time to call it quits. I have to admit; I never believed that there was any such thing as being addicted to gambling- I always thought that people could just stop gambling whenever they wished or whenever they felt that had lost too much money; Boy was I wrong.

Waste of Money

I am sure there are so many people who have very interesting stories to tell about how much money they have lost with sports betting and gambling. There are a number of issues with sports betting and gambling in general that I am very concerned with. The small amounts won at first will always be the trap that will keep people hooked with the hopes of winning big. The reality is that the house has nothing to lose, but you do.

While many people may not feel the pinch of losing small amounts, they will come to realize that they have lost quite a good amount in the long run. While I would win from time to time, I would also lose. Again, I know of people who have won big, but they only make up about 1 percent of all the people who bet. Although I never liked to gamble with my money, a friend of mine convinced me to bet on a certain team that I have always been fun off. What are these issues you may ask?

Ultimately, if many people who bet will be outright honest, one always looses more than they win. Loosing small amounts did not seem to be much of a problem, but in total after the few months of playing, the amount was more than I was comfortable with.

Personally, I felt like I was standing on quicksand- Not going anywhere- slowly, but surely sinking. Here is what I realized from the experience. This is simply not the case. Since I would only lose a small amount, I did not feel like it affected me much. While a good number of people will often claim to have won a small amount, the reality is that many will lose more money than they win.

So, is it really worth it? I do not think so. On the other hand, some people will continue playing with the hopes of recovering the amount they lost, which only leads them to continue losing more.. I honestly wish I lost, which would have discouraged me from playing again. I will not say sports betting is wrong, but I would suggest that anyone who plays be careful not to go overboard. What happened you ask? Well, I won. Remember, too much of anything is bad.

Addiction

I know of people who have won big- I mean really big; that is a fact. The problem with small winnings is that they get a person to continue betting more and more.

Ever had a leach suck on your blood? They produce this substance that keeps the skin numb, which allows them to continue sucking more blood with the person feeling pain- Greedy bastards :) My experience with sports betting was more the same. The chances were good anyways and I only used a little cash, but I won something. While I may have had total winnings of about $60 within the two months, I had lost about $80- As the small winnings made me happy and all exited; I did not give much attention fun88 to the amounts I was losing.

After playing for about two weeks, I wanted to win more and would use the money I had won to bet on more games. The majority will either lose a lot of money or remain stagnated (neither winning a lot nor losing a lot).

Although I did not lose that much money, my sports betting experience brought me to one very important realization- It’s simply not worth it.

I was never much of a gambler, and initially believed that people who do so were simply wasting their money- More like throwing it away

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A dream come true: World’s most incredible bets

It started with a horse called Isn’t That Lucky and ended with one called A Dream Come True, for one lucky punter from Yorkshire in Britain.

In 2008, the unnamed man placed just 75 cents on eight horses winning in an accumulator bet, said the BBC.

Australian media tycoon Kerry Packer wasn’t known as “The Big Fella” of gambling for nothing, famously halving betting odds in a matter of minutes with his million-dollar wagers.

Packer, who had an estimated fortune of $6.7 billion at the time of his death in 2005, was a legendary figure on the track who struggled to find individual bookmakers with enough money to take him on.

Five years later, Ascot erected a lifesize bronze statue of the jockey at the entrance of the famous racecourse, in honor of his historic wins.

But the bold gamble paid off and Yeats left the track £550,000 ($830,000) richer. He’s got balls of steel when it comes to placing bets,” says Barry Orr, spokesman for Betfair, the world’s biggest online betting exchange.Now worth an estimated $1 billion, the 62-year-old property mogul and horse owner was a big player at this week’s Cheltenham Festival — one of the biggest betting events in the Britain.

Described as the “Olympics of jumps racing,” more than $820 million is bet during the four-day festival, with many punters taking their lead from the almost-mythical McManus.

“McManus is a legendary figure because of how brave he is,” Ladbrokes bookmaker David Williams says.

Despite the 2,000,000-1 odds, every horse won, granting the gambler a whopping $1.5 million windfall.

Murphy placed the wager online three months before the race, giving him greater odds — and greater returns — than those betting on the day.

The huge windfall helped finance his lifelong ambition of working as a trainer in Louisville, home of the prestigious Kentucky Derby, he told British newspaper The Telegraph.

Against the odds

In the late 1980s a consortium of Sydney bookmakers joined forces to accept Packer’s awesome bets, which could be around $5 million on a single race.

But the bookmakers were rubbing their hands at Sydney’s Golden Slipper Stakes in 1987 when Packer m88 lost around $7 million throughout the day — including $2 million on his own horse, called Christmas Tree — reported Melbourne newspaper The Age.

Dettori’s magnificent seven

He became the first person in Britain to win £1 million ($1.5 million) in a betting shop.

Nicknamed the “Sundance Kid” for his bold gambling, McManus famously won $1.3 million in just one day at Cheltenham in 2006, in series of wagers with similarly daring bookmaker “Fearless” Freddie Williams.

As Cheltenham wraps up for another year on Friday, CNN’s Winning Post takes a look at five of the most incredible horse racing betting stories of all time.

Stable boy-turned-millionaire

From humble beginnings as a bookmaker, McManus earned a reputation as the fearless man on the track who would take on any wager — no matter how big.

“He’s an absolute legend. “He’s one of those faces that when he walks into a betting ring, everyone is wondering what he’s going to do.

“But you’d never believe he’s such a big, brazen better — he’s very polite, very unassuming, a real gentlemen.”

The Irishman could have been accused of letting his heart rule his head when he bet $75 on all five of his boss’s horses winning.

One lucky punter, Darren Yeats, placed a £59 ($89) accumulator bet on all of Dettori’s races — despite being warned off by his wife.

Story highlightsLegendary billionaire gambler JP McManus big player at CheltenhamMore than $820m bet at four-day British horse racing festivalTop betting stories include stable boy turned millionaireLucky punter who won $1.5m on horse called A Dream Come True

For a legendary gambler who thinks nothing of betting a million dollars on one horse, Irish businessman JP McManus is by all accounts a surprisingly reserved man.

It was a rare victory for the thoroughbred, who won just 10 of his 62 races.

But Murphy happily proved the skeptics wrong, scooping $1.5 million in an accumulator — a single bet which relies on all horses winning.

The biggest loser

A Dream Come True.

“The atmosphere in the winners’ enclosure was amazing,” Nick Smith, head of public relations at Ascot, told CNN.

“We actually had champagne for him after the sixth win, and then after the seventh the whole place just erupted.”

The Italian rider got the record-breaking day underway with a win on the aptly named three-year-old colt, Wall Street. By today’s standards, it’s roughly the equivalent of placing a $46 bet and getting $4,300 back.

This time last year, 29-year-old Conor Murphy was a stable boy — until one lucky bet at Cheltenham changed his life forever.

It’s become one of the fabled wins in horse racing history — and the elusive dream that lingers in the back of every punter’s mind.

Surprise winner Donerail pulled away at the last stretch, setting a new track record with a time of two minutes and four seconds, beating his nearest rival by half-a-length. In 1996, jockey Frankie Dettori left bookmakers in tears after defying 25,000-1 odds of winning all seven races at Britain’s Ascot Festival.

If ever there was an opportunity to step back in time and place a bet, it would surely be on the Kentucky Derby’s 1913 winner Donerail.

The three-year-old colt remains the highest odds winner in the history of the race, placed at 91-1, said the Kentucky Derby Museum.

One hundred years ago, those putting $2 on Donerail would have collected $184.90 in winnings

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Negative Effects of Gambling

Forget satisfaction or peace, it is not even refreshing in the real sense. The addiction has negative effects on one’s physical and mental health and it proves to be detrimental to one’s social, personal, and professional life. The addiction gets on to the gamblers to such an extent that they fail to think wisely before acting. ? Problem gamblers and addicts tend to abuse their family members. This proves to be detrimental to their social and family life. It only leads to a thoughtless expenditure of money and valuables.

? A majority of those addicted to gambling have substance abuse disorders.

? Similar to how an individual keeps consuming substances like drugs or alcohol to experience an altered mental state, he continues to gamble. The greed never ends and they keep betting more and more. Rehabilitating the gambling addicts needs money and time, and the process is not very easy. Sports betting and arbitrage betting are the other types. A recreational activity is supposed to be refreshing and relaxing, but something like gambling is contrary to the very purpose of recreation. Six to eight million people in America are estimated to have a gambling problem.

? As gambling leads to increased criminal activities, in a way, gamblers add to the burden on prisons and the legal system.

? Addiction to gambling has been linked with substance abuse. Their mental state can even lead to suicidal tendencies.

? Gambling can lead to criminal activities. The effect is similar to that of having a drug or a drink, which is why gambling changes one’s mental state and mood.

Initially, one looks at gambling as a way to run away from life’s problems, or from stress, anger, and loneliness. Betting is a mentally taxing activity, and as one goes on risking more and more money, anxiety starts building.

? Gambling has proven to be addictive. They engage in gambling activities at the cost of their time with family and friends. Thus, gambling can have a grave economic impact which is difficult to reverse.

Games offered in casinos, table games like poker, Red Dog, and Blackjack, as m88 casino also electronic games like Slot Machine and Video Poker are some of the common types of gambling. On giving a serious consideration to the negative effects of gambling, we realize that it is best avoided.

Compulsive gambling leads to bankruptcy

? People continue gambling with the greed of winning money. Thus, gambling practices cause a huge financial burden on the families of the affected and on the society at large.

? Gamblers often exhibit mood swings and a strangely secretive behavior. Card games, coin tossing, and dice-based games are some non-casino based forms of gambling. A study by the same university suggested that 73% of the individuals who are imprisoned are found to be problem gamblers.

? According to the University of New York, in people with alcohol use disorders, the chances of developing an addiction to gambling are 23 times higher.

? Additionally, rehabilitation and public assistance systems are taxed.

? An Austrian study said that around 1 in 5 suicidal patients had a gambling problem.

Mental and physical health problems, financial issues, and conflicts in the family are among the common negative effects of gambling. The National Council of Problem Gambling (NCPG) describes this type of gambling behavior as problem gambling.

? Substances of abuse are served at casinos and in pubs and clubs, thus increasing the likelihood of gamblers consuming them. Addiction to gambling, coupled with substance abuse can make the gamblers physically abusive towards their family. Because of this, they land in worse situations and take the wrong decisions in life.

? According to a research by NCPG, 76 percent of problem gamblers are likely to have a major depressive disorder.

? Studies show that children with a sibling or parent addicted to gambling, are more likely to take to substance abuse.

? Gambling is practiced as a means of recreation. They tend to stay away from their near ones, resulting in distrust between them and their loved ones.

Gambling = Thoughtless Expenditure + Waste of Time

? The stress from gambling may lead to health issues like ulcers, stomach problems, muscle pains, headaches, and problems with sleep.

? Children of parents who are problem gamblers or gambling addicts tend to feel abandoned and angry, further increasing stress and leading to strained family relations.

? The costs of treating compulsive gamblers are huge. To add to the so-called merry atmosphere, gamblers often smoke or drink while playing.

? Gambling at the cost of one’s job results in a decline in the quality of his professional life. Due to lost mental peace, they may ill-treat their spouse and children. It can drag you into crime, gambling isn’t fun.

? Research has shown that gambling can lead to harmful behavior in people. It causes a decline in his/her work performance, thus hampering his career.. The stress of risking huge amounts of money or the frustration after losing it can increase the tendency of abuse in gamblers. It soon becomes a habit that can’t be broken.

? The addiction to gambling can leave one in bankruptcy. Over time, it becomes a habit, and eventually an obsession that can’t be overcome. Some go that way to forget the sorrow of losing big sums when gambling.

Gambling refers to the betting of money on an event with an uncertain outcome, with the intent of winning additional wealth. The decision to gamble money is based on three parameters namely; how much to bet, the predictability of the event, and the conditions agreed upon, between the gamblers. The skill of a gambler lies in weighing the three parameters and making a decision about what amount should be staked and how much should be expected in return.

? Over time, the practice of gambling starts becoming a habit and begins to have damaging effects at psychological, physical, and social levels. The two go hand in hand. Some take to substance abuse to supplement the high they get from winning huge sums while gambling. When they lose the money they had risked, they further gamble to recover the lost amount and it becomes a vicious circle even they can’t escape from.

? They start borrowing money and take secret loans. According to the National Research Council, 10 to 17% of the children of problem gamblers have been abused and so have 25 to 50% of the partners of problems gamblers.

? Apart from absence at work and drop in efficiency, a common observation is that gamblers tend to steal money and engage in fraudulent behavior to recover from financial losses incurred when gambling, or to get more money to bet.

? People who fall prey to gambling tend to remain away from their families and waste money on other bad practices. Their debt keeps building and it may reach an amount that exceeds their capacity to repay.

You could be at gunpoint or holding the gun. In the following sections of this Buzzle article, we discuss the negative effects of gambling on the individual and society.

? According to a study by the George State University, 50% of the problem gamblers commit crime. The addiction leads people to continue with gambling irrespective of whether they earn or lose in the deal. In spite of the losses incurred, they continue betting. The addiction robs a gambler of all the productive time and leads to loss of efficiency at work

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College Football: Pictures, Videos, Breaking News

Should they do so?

Being a Harbaugh has given him more intimate exposure to football than most coaches, but it’s what he’s learned in life, not the Harbaugh legacy, that sets Jay apart.

Last Saturday was somewhat of a day of reckoning within the top ranks of college football, with four of the top six ranked schools in the country going down. Elson,

What this series of events does show is the chasm that sadly still exists in the experiences and therefore perspectives of most white people compared to most people of color.

Kai Sato

Editor, Truthdig.com; Author, ‘They Know Everything About You’

It was the waning moments of a damp September fourth quarter, and football, as it often does, had brought out the ugly side of one of its fans. Let me preface the conversation about college cheerleading with a quick aside about cheerleading in high school.

Even if you aren’t into the game, football fandom isn’t just about what happens on the field anymore. 4 Oklahoma, and No. 3 Alabama, No. Here are the five big questions to keep in mind heading into the 2015 UH Football season.. 2 Oregon, No. When you get in, you have the typical public perception of it being kind of quirky and not that tough, but it’s not like that at all.

Rabbi Jason Miller

At all levels of collegiate play, there are five things that all high school prospects should do to improve their chances of getting recruited for a football scholarship

It’s sorta weird. 6 Texas A&M all bit the dust last week.

While secondary market tickets for the College Football Championship Game are the most expensive for any college game this season, it’s on pace to be the least expensive national championship game by a wide margin.

In the end, running up the score with your star players still in the game, in the final seconds of a game that was not longer being contested didn’t even register to Urban Meyer. There are so many aspects to the football experience to enjoy — like the tailgating — that new gadgets have made it fun for everyone.

John A. In this case, the red-faced rooter was a 30-something dad.

Jim Wallis

Entrepreneur, Educator, Writer and Technologist – “Rabbi Without Borders”

Seth Abramson

Robert Scheer

The Colorado Buffaloes come into town for a Thursday night showdown to kickoff what could be a make-or-break year for a man beginning his fourth year as head coach of the Rainbow Warriors. No. Tures

In this week’s Scheer Intelligence podcast on KCRW, Robert Scheer speaks with former USC football player Anthony Davis about living with the brain injuries Davis sustained during his celebrated career.

Co-founder & COO, FieldLevel, Inc.

From a distance, it appears that Jim Harbaugh is a great coach because he is a great father, husband, son and brother, and being a great football coach just naturally follows. This may not be technically wrong, but it’s lame.

On November 26th, the nation’s highest-profile pollster — Nate Silver of the New York Times — gave ten teams a better chance of making the inaugural College Football Playoff than the University of Wisconsin.

Attorney; Assistant Professor, UNH; Poet; Editor, Best American Experimental Writing

John S. Michigan is a perfect fit for him because of who he is, where he is in his life and what he loves.

Political science professor, LaGrange College in Georgia

The best answer to any question

Christian leader for social change; President and Founder @Sojourners

Quora

There will always be those who ignore the wisdom of others, but if more athletes realize the impact of what a 40+ year retirement will look like, they might perk up their ears just a little more.

Emeritus Professor of Law, Northwestern; former NU faculty government chair; scholarship & litigation in education & civil right law.

Without governance reforms that will put the players’ education and safety ahead of the coaches’ and schools’ money-making priorities, the academically elite Division I colleges’ claim to a higher ground is pure hypocrisy.

A number of schools are considering firing their longtime successful coaches, in the hopes of getting a more successful one

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Free Baseball Picks – Baseball Betting Articles, Systems, Picks – 2012 Statistics

See our MLB results.

 Giants

 

Systems tracked daily on free picks page. If you want the daily picks, sign up for our monthly service. Documented Top 10 in 2005-2012. See 2 Free Samples!

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OverallOrioles

93-69

+41.76

Athletics

94-68

+40.30

Nationals

98-64

+27.78

Giants

94-68

+23.57

Reds

97-65

+20.87

Full Table >>HomeAthletics

50-31

+20.95

Orioles

47-34

+14.14

Nationals

50-31

+12.19

Reds

50-31

+8.39

Giants

48-33

+8.34

Full Table >>RoadOrioles

46-35

+27.62

Athletics

44-37

+19.35

Braves

46-35

+16.83

Nationals

48-33

+15.59

Giants

46-35

+15.23

Full Table >>vs RightyAthletics

64-39

+34.98

Orioles

67-52

+28.93

Braves

65-38

+25.38

Nationals

70-45

+21.99

Reds

65-49

+6.64

Full Table >>vs LeftyGiants

41-20

+24.22

Reds

32-16

+14.23

Orioles

26-17

+12.83

Cardinals

31-17

+9.96

Nationals

28-19

+5.79

Full Table >>Your Link Here – $50/mo

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Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

By: Manny G

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units.

prosportsonline.net

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won)

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